Tropical Storm ISELLE Advisory Mon Aug 04

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0300 UTC MON AUG 04 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  20(24)   1(25)   X(25)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)   1(24)   X(24)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN