Tropical Storm FOUR-E Advisory Wed Jul 08

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042015
0300 UTC WED JUL 08 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 145W       34  X   3( 3)  10(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)  15(33)   1(34)   X(34)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  16(24)   2(26)   X(26)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART