Tropical Storm FERNANDA Advisory Thu Jul 13

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 115W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

10N 120W       34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  36(46)   3(49)   X(49)   X(49)
10N 120W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
10N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)

10N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  41(43)   6(49)   1(50)
10N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   5(20)   X(20)
10N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   6(22)   X(22)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

10N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   8(31)
10N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)
10N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)  15(42)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
10N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
10N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  28(30)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

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